MLB Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

8:00 p.m.
Milwaukee Brewers @ Tampa Bay Rays

Brewers: 113-60 (65.3%) | TBD | Market Rating: +6.1% (-128)

Rays: 105-69 (60.3%) | Griffin Jax (R): 13-11 (54.2%) | Market Rating: +2.0% (-108) | Home Field: +3.8% (-116)

Run line

Team Total

Total

Brewers

-124

-1.5 (+142)

o3.5 (-121)

7.0

Rays

+106

+1.5 (-168)

o3.5 (+113)

Open

Brewers

-130

-1.5 (+139)

o3.5 (-122)

7.0

Rays

+111

+1.5 (-166)

o3.5 (+113)

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Injury Report as of Oct 27, 12:41 PM ET MILNo key injuries TB3 Out

MIL

Not in rotation (60-day IL / season-ending, or under 2.0 PA/G and fewer than 3 G pitched): Angel Zerpa, Brian Fitzpatrick, Quinn Priester

Player	PA/G · G	Status	Reason
Edwin Uceta	70 G ’25	Out	Uceta (shoulder) is playing catch from 75 feet, per MLB.com.
Gavin Lux	3.6 PA/G ’25	Out	Lux (shoulder) has resumed full baseball activity, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
Shane McClanahan	24 G	Out	McClanahan (forearm) won't be available to pitch during the rest of the postseason, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.

Not in rotation (60-day IL / season-ending, or under 2.0 PA/G and fewer than 3 G pitched): Jacob Melton, Jonathan Heasley, Ryan Pepiot

PA/G = plate appearances per game played this season (hitters). G = games pitched this season (pitchers). ’25 = last season's figure (player hasn't appeared yet this season). Players under 2.0 PA/G and fewer than 3 G pitched in both seasons, and long-term absences (60-day IL, season-ending, surgery), are listed under “Not in rotation.”

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Regression Analysis The Regression Analysis section is a strictly rule-based analysis designed to simplify and interpret what the data indicates. This section identifies potential regression signals and organizes them into a clear breakdown for each side. The goal isn't to tell you what to bet—it's to provide context.

By translating the data into plain language, this can help you understand how regression and matchup factors interact. These signals highlight tendencies, not guarantees, and are most effective when used alongside the rest of the matchup page for full context.

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Schedules

Brewers Schedule

Date	Team Starter	Runs		Opponent Starter	Opp Runs	Line	Total
10/30/26 2026	Brewers	-	vs.	Rays	-	-	-
10/28/26 2026	Brewers TBD	-	@	Rays TBD	-	-	-
10/27/26 2026	Brewers TBD	-	@	Rays Griffin Jax (R)	-	-123	7.0
10/26/26 2026	Brewers Robert Gasser (L)	10	@	Rays Freddy Peralta (R)	1	+100	7.0
10/24/26 2026	Brewers Logan Henderson (R)	5	vs.	Rays Drew Rasmussen (R)	4	-117	6.5
10/23/26 2026	Brewers Jacob Misiorowski (R)	3	vs.	Rays Nick Martinez (R)	2	-188	6.5
10/15/26 2026	Brewers Shane Drohan (L)	6	@	Dodgers Tyler Glasnow (R)	4	+132	8.0
10/14/26 2026	Brewers Robert Gasser (L)	6	@	Dodgers Blake Snell (L)	2	+153	7.0
10/12/26 2026	Brewers Logan Henderson (R)	7	vs.	Dodgers Yoshinobu Yamamoto (R)	4	+116	7.0
10/11/26 2026	Brewers Jacob Misiorowski (R)	2	vs.	Dodgers Tarik Skubal (L)	1	-104	6.0
10/07/26 2026	Brewers Robert Gasser (L)	3	@	Padres Walker Buehler (R)	1	-108	7.5
10/06/26 2026	Brewers Dustin May (R)	3	@	Padres Nick Pivetta (R)	4	+121	7.5
10/04/26 2026	Brewers Logan Henderson (R)	4	vs.	Padres Michael King (R)	3	-132	7.0
Away Games Avg (5 games)		5.6	-	-	2.4	+118	7.4
All Games Avg (10 games)		4.9	-	-	2.6	-101	7.0

Rays Schedule

Date	Team Starter	Runs		Opponent Starter	Opp Runs	Line	Total
10/30/26 2026	Rays	-	@	Brewers	-	-	-
10/28/26 2026	Rays TBD	-	vs.	Brewers TBD	-	-	-
10/27/26 2026	Rays Griffin Jax (R)	-	vs.	Brewers TBD	-	+106	7.0
10/26/26 2026	Rays Freddy Peralta (R)	1	vs.	Brewers Robert Gasser (L)	10	-116	7.0
10/24/26 2026	Rays Drew Rasmussen (R)	4	@	Brewers Logan Henderson (R)	5	+102	6.5
10/23/26 2026	Rays Nick Martinez (R)	2	@	Brewers Jacob Misiorowski (R)	3	+161	6.5
10/19/26 2026	Rays Freddy Peralta (R)	7	vs.	Guardians Shawn Armstrong (R)	3	-154	7.0
10/18/26 2026	Rays Drew Rasmussen (R)	3	@	Guardians Parker Messick (L)	1	-126	6.0
10/17/26 2026	Rays Nick Martinez (R)	7	@	Guardians Shawn Armstrong (R)	3	-112	6.5
10/15/26 2026	Rays Griffin Jax (R)	2	@	Guardians Gavin Williams (R)	3	+110	6.5
10/13/26 2026	Rays Freddy Peralta (R)	3	vs.	Guardians Parker Messick (L)	1	-132	6.5
10/12/26 2026	Rays Drew Rasmussen (R)	3	vs.	Guardians Foster Griffin (L)	7	-169	6.5
10/07/26 2026	Rays Nick Martinez (R)	4	@	Yankees Max Fried (L)	3	+148	7.0
Home Games Avg (4 games)		3.5	-	-	5.3	-141	6.8
All Games Avg (10 games)		3.6	-	-	3.9	-108	6.6

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Records

Pitch Mix vs. Bats

Away Pitcher: TBD

Griffin Jax's mix vs. MIL bats

Griffin Jax's pitches			MIL hitters vs. that pitch type, from all pitchers
Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff%	Chase%	BA	xBA	xwOBA	xSLG	xISO	Hard%	Barrel%	Avg EV
Sweeper	24.5%	87.5	28.1% (4)	27.0% (3)	.209 (12)	.318 (6)	.280 (7)	.579 (3)	.261 (2)	32.0% (7)	10.3% (3)	86.7 (7)
Sinker	23.0%	95.3	12.5% (9)	22.6% (1)	.293 (7)	.341 (10)	.362 (8)	.512 (9)	.171 (16)	42.9% (16)	6.2% (19)	89.4 (10)
Changeup	22.9%	90.9	31.5% (13)	28.7% (1)	.230 (7)	.308 (21)	.280 (13)	.451 (24)	.143 (24)	32.4% (12)	4.6% (25)	84.9 (23)
4-Seam Fastball	17.7%	95.9	21.2% (13)	26.1% (8)	.272 (2)	.353 (3)	.348 (7)	.593 (15)	.240 (23)	47.9% (3)	9.4% (20)	90.4 (17)
Curveball	9.0%	85.0	29.9% (15)	24.5% (1)	.218 (14)	.316 (17)	.271 (21)	.488 (22)	.172 (22)	34.0% (20)	7.6% (12)	85.5 (25)
Cutter	2.8%	92.7	22.1% (12)	29.6% (17)	.321 (1)	.331 (10)	.349 (14)	.564 (11)	.233 (9)	38.2% (13)	10.2% (5)	87.2 (16)
Whole mix, by usage			24.1% (8)	26.1% (1)	.248 (4)	.327 (5)	.312 (6)	.528 (11)	.201 (11)	37.8% (11)	7.6% (13)	87.5 (16)

2026 season totals. Usage and Velo are Griffin Jax's; every other column is MIL's active hitters against that pitch type from every pitcher, not against him. (n) is MIL's place among the 30 clubs: 1 and green hit the pitch best, red is good for the pitcher.

Starting Pitchers Recent Performance

Away Pitcher: TBD

Griffin Jax Last 5 Starts

	H	A	Line	Total	IP	NP	K	BB	Hits	HR	ER	Runs	Opp Starter
10/15	CLE [ 3 ]	TBR [ 2 ]	+110	6.5	4	67	2	2	5	1	3	3	Gavin Williams (R)
9/26	PHI [ 1 ]	TBR [ 12 ]	+104	7	3	52	1	0	2	0	0	0	Aaron Nola (R)
9/20	TBR [ 5 ]	BOS [ 1 ]	-150	7.5	5	74	5	2	3	0	0	0	Patrick Sandoval (L)
9/15	TBR [ 2 ]	ATH [ 1 ]	-234	8	5	67	7	0	2	0	0	0	Jack Perkins (R)
9/9	ATL [ 2 ]	TBR [ 7 ]	+104	8	5	66	2	1	2	1	1	1	Reynaldo Lopez (R)
Averages:					4.4	65.2	3.4	1	2.8	0.4	0.8	0.8

Bullpen Usage (Last 3 Days)

MIL Bullpen — Last 3 Days

Pitcher	10/24	10/25	10/26	App	IP	NP	K	BB	H	ER
Antonio Senzatela	·	·	2.0 (26)	1	2.0	26	1	0	0	0
Aaron Ashby	1.2 (28)	·	·	1	1.2	28	3	0	1	0
Abner Uribe	1.1 (26)	·	·	1	1.1	26	1	1	0	0
Brandon Woodruff	·	·	1.0 (18)	1	1.0	18	1	0	2	1
DL Hall	1.0 (11)	·	·	1	1.0	11	1	0	1	0
Dustin May	1.0 (12)	·	·	1	1.0	12	0	0	1	0
JoJo Romero	1.0 (16)	·	·	1	1.0	16	1	0	1	0
Team Totals (7 arms used):				7	9.0	137	8	1	6	1

A day reads innings (pitches). NP = number of pitches over the window.

TBR Bullpen — Last 3 Days

Pitcher	10/24	10/25	10/26	App	IP	NP	K	BB	H	ER
Tyler Wells	0.2 (8)	·	1.0 (16)	2	1.2	24	1	0	1	1
Cam Booser	1.1 (13)	·	0.0 (12)	2	1.1	25	0	1	4	4
Steven Matz	0.1 (8)	·	1.0 (17)	2	1.1	25	0	0	1	0
Cole Sulser	·	·	1.1 (32)	1	1.1	32	1	0	4	1
Kevin Kelly	1.1 (32)	·	·	1	1.1	32	0	1	2	0
Garrett Cleavinger	·	·	1.0 (11)	1	1.0	11	1	0	0	0
Ian Seymour	0.2 (34)	·	·	1	0.2	34	2	1	2	1
Team Totals (7 arms used):				10	8.2	183	5	3	14	7

A day reads innings (pitches). NP = number of pitches over the window.

Notable Trends

The Rays are 75% (6-2) on the moneyline as a home dog

The Brewers are 91.7% (11-1) (L30 days) on the moneyline

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Rays (Home)

The Rays are 60.1% (104-69) on the moneyline

The Rays are 75% (6-2) on the moneyline as a home dog

The Rays are 51.5% (86-81-6) to the under

The Rays are 50% (4-4) to the over as a home dog

The Rays are 50% (6-6) (L30 days) on the moneyline

The Rays are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) on the moneyline as a home dog

The Rays are 63.6% (7-4-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Rays are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as a home dog

Brewers (Away)

The Brewers are 65.3% (113-60) on the moneyline

The Brewers are 63.3% (31-18) on the moneyline as an away fav

The Brewers are 53.3% (89-78-5) to the under

The Brewers are 60.4% (29-19-1) to the under as an away fav